Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 35 | 13-21 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 32 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 31 | 12-14 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 14 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 12 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 35 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 22 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 18 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs | 5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter