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2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 59.7% 40.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.8 โœ— (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - โœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings -3 (117-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 40 7-11 2-4 6-6 12 3 2 2 22 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 35 9-17 2-7 2-3 8 1 2 0 22 - -
Dejounte Murray * 34 8-17 1-4 4-4 6 4 3 0 21 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 32 3-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 8 - -
Trae Young * 31 7-12 1-2 6-7 0 6 1 0 21 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 32 7-13 3-7 0-0 8 3 1 0 17 - -
AJ Griffin 16 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Aaron Holiday 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jalen Johnson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Frank Kaminsky 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 39 7-13 0-0 6-8 14 8 2 1 20 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 7-15 2-7 6-6 4 1 1 0 22 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 36 9-20 0-1 7-7 5 5 2 0 25 - -
Kevin Huerter * 34 8-15 4-9 4-4 3 5 1 0 24 - -
Keegan Murray * 26 3-7 2-3 0-0 7 1 1 2 8 - -
Davion Mitchell 24 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Malik Monk 19 3-9 1-4 2-2 2 5 2 0 9 - -
Trey Lyles 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Terence Davis 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Richaun Holmes 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter