Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -3 (117-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins * | 40 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 30 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 31 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 32 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 32 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 34 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter