🐻⬇️🏀

@
2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 53.7% 46.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% -
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.2% 80.8% -
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -3 (119-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 35 3-12 1-4 2-2 2 13 1 0 9 13 -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 33 10-15 5-6 4-5 4 5 2 0 29 25 -
Jalen Duren * 31 8-8 0-0 2-3 11 0 0 0 18 21 -
Isaiah Stewart * 30 6-14 1-7 0-0 7 1 0 1 13 8 -
Jaden Ivey * 27 5-14 1-4 1-4 6 5 1 0 12 10 -
Alec Burks 30 4-8 2-3 5-6 4 4 2 0 15 17 -
Saddiq Bey 28 6-17 4-10 1-1 3 1 2 0 17 6 -
Hamidou Diallo 17 2-3 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 6 8 -
Rodney McGruder 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 34 11-23 3-10 5-5 2 3 0 1 30 13 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 33 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 7 -
Jordan Poole * 33 9-22 3-10 3-3 5 6 0 0 24 13 -
Draymond Green * 30 2-4 0-2 0-0 8 7 0 1 4 16 -
Kevon Looney * 27 4-6 0-0 0-0 15 2 2 2 8 23 -
Anthony Lamb 27 6-9 3-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 17 12 -
Ty Jerome 26 7-11 3-4 1-1 0 3 0 0 18 10 -
Moses Moody 15 3-5 1-3 1-2 2 4 0 0 8 9 -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 10 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 5 7 -

* = starter