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2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% -
Points Off/Def 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +3 (129-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 41 9-22 6-14 0-0 9 6 2 1 24 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 41 5-11 1-4 1-1 4 2 0 0 12 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 39 7-14 2-7 0-0 7 12 2 1 16 - -
Myles Turner * 38 6-8 0-1 2-2 8 1 1 5 14 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 22 3-8 3-5 2-2 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 30 5-15 0-2 9-10 4 2 1 0 19 - -
Jalen Smith 14 6-9 1-1 4-4 6 1 1 0 17 - -
T.J. McConnell 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 - -
Oshae Brissett 12 1-3 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Chris Duarte 11 0-2 0-1 4-4 0 0 0 0 4 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 42 8-20 2-8 8-10 6 8 1 2 26 - -
Tobias Harris * 38 8-18 1-5 2-2 10 3 0 1 19 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 37 7-15 5-8 0-0 7 0 0 0 19 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 36 6-16 1-4 4-4 5 6 1 0 17 - -
P.J. Tucker * 25 0-4 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 27 8-9 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 4 19 - -
Matisse Thybulle 21 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Shake Milton 18 5-6 1-2 2-2 3 4 0 0 13 - -
Georges Niang 16 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 11 - -

* = starter