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2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 64.0% 36.0% -
Bradley-Terry 69.0% 31.0% -
Margin 81.7% 18.3% -8.2 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% -
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.6% 48.4% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +11 (126-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 8-19 0-1 17-18 4 4 1 1 33 - -
Josh Giddey * 31 7-17 2-7 0-0 5 4 0 0 16 - -
Luguentz Dort * 30 3-11 3-6 4-4 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Jalen Williams * 27 2-8 0-2 0-0 3 4 5 1 4 - -
Jaylin Williams * 11 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Tre Mann 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 - -
Kenrich Williams 20 5-7 2-2 0-0 9 1 1 0 12 - -
Mike Muscala 19 3-4 3-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Isaiah Joe 19 3-6 3-6 4-5 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Lindy Waters III 12 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 6 - -
Aaron Wiggins 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 35 8-17 2-5 7-9 8 7 1 0 25 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 30 4-9 0-4 5-6 13 1 0 2 13 - -
Caleb Houstan * 28 4-9 3-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Gary Harris * 27 5-10 3-5 5-6 3 1 1 0 18 - -
Markelle Fultz * 25 5-8 0-0 3-4 6 4 1 1 13 - -
Cole Anthony 30 2-6 0-3 2-2 3 6 0 1 6 - -
R.J. Hampton 23 4-7 1-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Terrence Ross 22 6-9 3-4 3-3 5 3 1 1 18 - -
Mo Bamba 17 4-6 1-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 10 - -

* = starter