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2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 40.6% 59.4% -
Bradley-Terry 69.0% 31.0% -
Margin 73.9% 26.1% -5.7 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.9% 39.1% -
Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.4% 25.6% -
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% -
Points Off/Def 63.9% 36.1% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -24 (107-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Adams * 27 3-7 0-0 3-7 15 2 1 2 9 - -
Desmond Bane * 26 8-16 2-6 1-2 11 4 1 0 19 - -
Ja Morant * 26 8-17 2-5 5-6 1 8 2 0 23 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 6-10 1-4 5-5 2 0 1 1 18 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 24 6-10 1-3 4-5 8 1 0 3 17 - -
Santi Aldama 20 3-6 0-3 2-2 3 2 0 1 8 - -
Xavier Tillman 20 5-9 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 1 10 - -
David Roddy 19 3-4 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 0 9 - -
John Konchar 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
Tyus Jones 14 2-7 2-6 2-2 0 4 1 0 8 - -
Kennedy Chandler 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Ziaire Williams 6 1-5 1-1 2-2 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 35 7-23 4-13 5-5 4 12 1 0 23 - -
P.J. Washington * 34 6-14 2-7 1-2 1 2 1 2 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 28 7-18 3-9 4-4 3 4 2 0 21 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 27 6-11 1-5 3-4 7 0 2 2 16 - -
Mason Plumlee * 23 2-2 0-0 3-3 10 1 0 2 7 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 22 3-8 0-1 1-2 2 3 2 0 7 - -
Cody Martin 21 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Mark Williams 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 2 - -
JT Thor 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Kai Jones 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
James Bouknight 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Nick Richards 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Bryce McGowens 4 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter