Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +33 (150-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 30 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 25 | 11-18 | 2-7 | 5-9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 25 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 14 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 32 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 28 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 24 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 32 | 8-11 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 27 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter