Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | LA Clippers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LA Clippers -10 (100-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 25 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Zubac * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Paul George * | 34 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Marcus Morris Sr. * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terance Mann * | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 25 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nicolas Batum | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| John Wall | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter