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2023-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% - โœ—
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.9 โœ— (30.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +29 (135-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 28 3-8 0-2 3-4 6 1 0 1 9 - -
Saddiq Bey * 27 2-6 1-2 4-5 5 0 2 0 9 - -
Jaden Ivey * 26 3-11 1-3 6-9 3 2 0 0 13 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 25 8-15 2-3 3-3 2 3 0 0 21 - -
Jalen Duren * 22 2-6 0-0 1-2 11 3 1 1 5 - -
Alec Burks 24 5-11 1-3 8-9 3 3 0 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 20 7-9 1-1 1-3 4 1 2 2 16 - -
Rodney McGruder 17 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 12 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Marvin Bagley III 8 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Nerlens Noel 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 33 11-18 4-10 4-5 5 3 2 0 30 - -
Josh Hart * 28 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 7 0 0 6 - -
Damian Lillard * 28 7-14 3-6 2-3 5 10 4 2 19 - -
Jerami Grant * 27 12-17 5-8 7-9 2 0 1 0 36 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 13 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Drew Eubanks 29 3-5 0-0 4-5 10 2 4 3 10 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 20 4-8 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Jabari Walker 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Gary Payton II 13 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 7 - -
Trendon Watford 10 0-1 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Keon Johnson 8 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 1 2 0 4 - -
Greg Brown III 5 1-2 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter