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2023-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +2 (143-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 50 10-20 1-4 4-4 10 7 2 1 25 - -
Trae Young * 43 8-22 3-10 11-13 7 14 1 0 30 - -
John Collins * 39 9-17 1-5 6-8 13 1 1 2 25 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 38 6-13 2-6 3-4 4 2 2 2 17 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 38 8-14 0-0 0-0 12 1 2 3 16 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 43 9-16 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 1 21 - -
Aaron Holiday 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 5 - -
AJ Griffin 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin Holiday 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 45 11-31 2-12 4-6 6 5 2 0 28 - -
Klay Thompson * 45 21-39 10-21 2-2 8 3 0 1 54 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 44 3-9 2-8 0-0 9 5 2 0 8 - -
Draymond Green * 44 2-5 1-1 0-0 13 11 2 3 5 - -
Kevon Looney * 32 4-8 0-0 6-8 20 4 0 1 14 - -
Anthony Lamb 32 7-12 2-6 1-2 7 4 1 0 17 - -
Ty Jerome 21 1-6 0-3 1-1 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Moses Moody 11 2-4 0-2 2-5 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 10 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 0 1 1 8 - -

* = starter