Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +13 (124-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 4-18 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 22 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 36 | 10-24 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 31 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell * | 31 | 8-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 24 | 9-10 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 31 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 14 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter