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2023-01-03

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 85.3% 14.7% -
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% -
Margin 57.7% 42.3% -1.7 (37.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.8% 67.2% -
Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% -
Points Off/Def 23.8% 76.2% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +36 (139-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 25 5-13 3-7 1-2 2 3 0 0 14 - -
Keldon Johnson * 24 7-13 2-6 6-7 4 1 0 1 22 - -
Tre Jones * 22 3-8 0-3 0-0 1 7 2 0 6 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 21 2-4 0-1 1-1 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 19 3-8 0-0 0-1 11 2 1 1 6 - -
Malaki Branham 25 4-10 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Josh Richardson 21 5-9 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Zach Collins 18 4-10 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 1 10 - -
Romeo Langford 16 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Isaiah Roby 14 2-5 0-2 1-4 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Doug McDermott 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -
Gorgui Dieng 9 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 1 5 - -
Stanley Johnson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 28 10-14 0-1 5-5 3 11 3 1 25 - -
Kyrie Irving * 28 11-14 4-5 1-2 8 0 1 1 27 - -
Ben Simmons * 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 9 3 0 4 - -
Seth Curry * 22 6-12 4-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 16 - -
Nic Claxton * 20 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 10 - -
Patty Mills 23 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 - -
T.J. Warren 23 9-13 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 2 18 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 20 4-9 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 9 - -
Joe Harris 15 3-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Yuta Watanabe 12 2-3 1-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Cam Thomas 12 4-5 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Edmond Sumner 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter