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2023-01-03

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 19.9% 80.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% - ✓
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.3 ✓ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +9 (120-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 39 9-16 5-8 3-4 2 6 1 0 26 - -
Trey Murphy III * 31 3-9 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 1 8 - -
Herbert Jones * 29 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 8 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 10-12 0-0 6-8 6 7 0 0 26 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 5-9 2-3 0-0 12 1 0 3 12 - -
Jaxson Hayes 19 3-6 1-1 3-4 2 1 0 2 10 - -
Willy Hernangomez 17 4-7 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 0 9 - -
Naji Marshall 15 4-11 1-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Devonte' Graham 12 0-3 0-3 2-2 3 5 0 0 2 - -
Jose Alvarado 12 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Dyson Daniels 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 8-19 3-9 8-10 2 8 2 1 27 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 15-24 2-3 10-10 11 5 1 1 42 - -
Tobias Harris * 31 2-5 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 5 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 30 3-6 3-5 2-2 4 2 1 1 11 - -
P.J. Tucker * 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Tyrese Maxey 26 5-14 1-5 1-2 1 2 0 0 12 - -
Georges Niang 26 5-9 5-9 0-0 5 4 1 1 15 - -
Shake Milton 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 1 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 - -

* = starter