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2023-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 64.4% 35.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 37.7% 62.3% +2.8 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.9% 40.1% -
Points Off/Def 52.5% 47.5% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 40 11-18 5-10 5-6 5 3 2 0 32 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 39 7-20 3-11 0-0 8 2 1 2 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 39 9-17 2-4 6-7 7 7 0 0 26 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 8-14 1-2 6-8 8 8 0 2 23 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 3-15 3-12 0-0 2 3 0 2 9 - -
Precious Achiuwa 12 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 2 1 3 3 - -
Christian Koloko 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Malachi Flynn 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chris Boucher 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 31 9-14 0-2 0-0 10 1 0 2 18 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 31 7-15 2-4 0-0 6 8 2 0 16 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 30 3-12 0-4 4-4 5 1 0 0 10 - -
Buddy Hield * 30 7-11 4-7 1-1 5 4 0 0 19 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 27 6-9 2-2 7-10 3 0 1 0 21 - -
T.J. McConnell 21 4-6 0-1 7-7 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Oshae Brissett 16 2-8 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 16 5-10 0-1 1-2 11 2 0 0 11 - -
Chris Duarte 15 0-4 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 - -

* = starter