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2023-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 26.4% 73.6% -
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% -
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +11 (145-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 45 16-32 2-6 10-12 3 4 4 1 44 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 43 6-8 2-4 6-7 13 2 0 0 20 - -
Zach LaVine * 40 7-18 3-9 9-9 6 6 0 1 26 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 32 4-8 0-3 3-4 3 5 0 0 11 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 4-10 2-7 0-0 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Alex Caruso 22 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 21 3-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Coby White 10 1-2 1-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Goran Dragic 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Andre Drummond 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 49 22-34 7-15 20-25 8 11 0 1 71 - -
Caris LeVert * 39 2-13 1-7 5-6 5 3 1 0 10 - -
Jarrett Allen * 38 9-10 0-0 3-6 8 2 0 1 21 - -
Kevin Love * 37 4-10 3-9 1-2 17 2 0 0 12 - -
Lamar Stevens * 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Cedi Osman 36 6-13 4-11 3-4 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Isaac Okoro 19 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 - -
Raul Neto 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Robin Lopez 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter