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2023-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% - ✓
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 ✓ (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - ✓
Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.6% 55.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.0% 58.0% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +19 (102-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 34 4-11 2-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 10 - -
Chris Paul * 30 4-11 1-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Deandre Ayton * 29 6-13 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 12 - -
Landry Shamet * 25 2-9 2-6 0-0 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Torrey Craig * 22 2-7 0-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Damion Lee 19 4-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Jock Landale 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Cameron Payne 17 3-7 0-1 2-2 1 7 0 0 8 - -
Ish Wainright 16 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 12 4-9 1-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Dario Saric 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Josh Okogie 4 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 39 7-18 4-12 10-12 16 6 1 0 28 - -
Jalen Brunson * 38 8-18 2-3 6-11 4 6 0 0 24 - -
Quentin Grimes * 35 5-9 2-6 0-0 3 5 0 1 12 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 35 6-12 3-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 15 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 34 5-7 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 10 - -
Miles McBride 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Evan Fournier 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Jericho Sims 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter