Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (123-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 11-14 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 12-20 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 22 | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Al Horford * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Grant Williams | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 10-13 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 42 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 30 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Jack White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter