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2023-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.8 (34.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% -
Log Adjusted 34.3% 65.7% -
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -23 (95-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 33 5-16 0-2 0-1 13 11 0 0 10 - -
Corey Kispert * 30 3-3 2-2 4-4 6 1 1 0 12 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 29 9-16 0-5 4-4 5 0 2 2 22 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 8-11 0-0 1-2 4 4 1 1 17 - -
Monte Morris * 25 3-7 1-5 0-0 3 4 0 1 7 - -
Rui Hachimura 31 11-18 3-5 1-3 4 3 1 0 26 - -
Deni Avdija 28 5-12 0-3 1-2 12 3 2 0 11 - -
Delon Wright 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Will Barton 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Goodwin 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 - -
Anthony Gill 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Portis * 30 6-16 1-2 6-6 10 2 1 0 19 - -
Jevon Carter * 30 6-15 2-6 0-0 3 3 1 1 14 - -
Pat Connaughton * 29 4-9 2-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 10 - -
Grayson Allen * 26 4-11 3-9 2-2 5 8 1 0 13 - -
Brook Lopez * 23 3-10 1-3 1-1 10 0 1 1 8 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 25 4-12 2-9 1-2 4 0 1 0 11 - -
AJ Green 19 4-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Joe Ingles 17 0-4 0-4 0-0 0 6 1 0 0 - -
Serge Ibaka 15 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 1 4 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter