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2023-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 40.4% 59.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +10 (118-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 35 7-18 2-4 3-3 4 6 1 0 19 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 8-14 0-2 2-2 14 4 1 0 18 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 4-10 3-7 3-3 6 5 2 0 14 - -
Harrison Barnes * 28 4-12 4-9 4-4 5 1 1 0 16 - -
Keegan Murray * 27 4-12 2-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 10 - -
Malik Monk 26 7-17 3-8 1-1 5 3 0 0 18 - -
Trey Lyles 18 2-7 1-5 2-2 5 2 0 2 7 - -
Davion Mitchell 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Richaun Holmes 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 - -
KZ Okpala 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alex Len 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 36 7-19 1-6 0-0 2 1 1 1 15 - -
Steven Adams * 34 5-12 0-0 1-2 23 3 1 2 11 - -
Ja Morant * 32 13-23 1-5 8-10 8 5 1 1 35 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 5-11 2-4 2-3 7 2 0 3 14 - -
John Konchar * 27 5-11 1-6 1-1 5 2 3 0 12 - -
Tyus Jones 32 5-10 5-7 3-4 6 8 1 0 18 - -
David Roddy 15 2-6 0-3 1-4 4 2 1 0 5 - -
Kennedy Chandler 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 4 - -
Jake LaRavia 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter