Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -3 (123-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 10-20 | 3-11 | 6-7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 34 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 5-7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 21 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 36 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 12-12 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 5-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 24 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 18 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter