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2023-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% -
Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -12 (104-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bojan Bogdanovic * 31 10-14 3-4 5-5 6 5 1 0 28 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 7 0 1 1 6 - -
Jaden Ivey * 19 0-4 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 1 - -
Saddiq Bey * 18 4-8 1-4 4-4 4 0 0 0 13 - -
Jalen Duren * 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Marvin Bagley III 28 8-16 0-3 2-4 10 1 0 2 18 - -
Alec Burks 28 4-13 2-5 3-5 7 2 0 1 13 - -
Cory Joseph 28 4-9 1-3 2-2 6 5 1 0 11 - -
Hamidou Diallo 24 5-10 0-1 2-4 8 3 2 2 12 - -
Rodney McGruder 22 4-7 3-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 11 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 10-21 4-10 6-7 7 5 1 0 30 - -
Kyle Anderson * 34 2-8 2-3 6-6 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 33 3-11 0-3 2-2 6 3 0 0 8 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 9-18 2-7 5-5 0 5 0 0 25 - -
Rudy Gobert * 27 3-3 0-0 3-6 10 0 0 2 9 - -
Naz Reid 23 3-6 0-2 0-0 9 0 2 2 6 - -
Austin Rivers 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Jaylen Nowell 17 4-9 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Matt Ryan 11 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -

* = starter