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2023-01-01

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (116-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 30 4-16 1-7 1-1 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 6-16 0-0 8-10 9 1 0 0 20 - -
Herbert Jones * 27 2-12 0-4 0-1 11 3 3 0 4 - -
Trey Murphy III * 23 5-7 2-4 3-3 3 0 0 0 15 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 22 2-5 1-1 1-2 6 0 1 3 6 - -
Naji Marshall 21 2-10 2-6 6-6 0 4 1 0 12 - -
Jaxson Hayes 20 5-6 1-2 2-3 4 1 1 1 13 - -
Jose Alvarado 20 2-6 0-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 7 - -
Devonte' Graham 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Willy Hernangomez 16 3-9 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 0 11 - -
Dyson Daniels 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 30 7-13 1-4 2-2 6 2 3 6 17 - -
Ja Morant * 30 13-22 0-6 6-7 3 8 2 0 32 - -
Desmond Bane * 28 7-19 1-6 3-3 7 0 1 1 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 27 3-8 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 7 - -
Steven Adams * 27 4-6 0-0 2-6 21 3 2 2 10 - -
David Roddy 28 1-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 - -
John Konchar 23 4-7 0-3 0-0 3 3 3 0 8 - -
Tyus Jones 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 8 0 0 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 4-7 0-0 4-4 5 0 1 1 12 - -
Kennedy Chandler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jake LaRavia 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Xavier Tillman 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter