Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✗ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -1 (125-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 18-29 | 6-10 | 9-15 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 51 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 28 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 18 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 10-19 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter