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Portland Trail Blazers 112
@
Golden State Warriors 118
2022-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Margin 20.4% 79.6% +7.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Efficiency 27.8% 72.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 42 12-29 4-15 6-7 8 5 0 1 34 - -
Josh Hart * 41 4-7 1-2 3-7 11 7 0 1 12 - -
Jerami Grant * 40 8-16 1-7 2-2 3 5 0 0 19 - -
Anfernee Simons * 35 8-21 4-11 2-2 7 2 0 1 22 - -
Drew Eubanks * 31 4-6 0-0 0-1 7 2 1 1 8 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Trendon Watford 15 2-4 1-2 3-4 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Jabari Walker 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 36 11-22 7-15 2-2 4 2 0 0 31 - -
Jordan Poole * 36 14-23 5-10 8-9 5 6 0 0 41 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 34 4-11 1-5 0-0 9 4 4 0 9 - -
Draymond Green * 32 4-11 2-4 0-0 11 4 1 0 10 - -
Kevon Looney * 25 2-6 0-0 0-2 11 2 0 0 4 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 26 4-8 0-2 1-2 2 6 1 1 9 - -
Ty Jerome 20 2-5 1-3 4-4 1 4 1 1 9 - -
Anthony Lamb 18 1-2 1-1 2-2 3 1 2 0 5 - -
Moses Moody 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter