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2022-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% -
Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.8% 81.2% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +14 (132-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Stewart * 33 6-15 2-7 2-2 10 2 3 0 16 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 31 8-19 2-6 2-4 4 6 1 0 20 - -
Jalen Duren * 30 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 4 - -
Saddiq Bey * 30 4-13 2-7 0-0 4 2 2 0 10 - -
Jaden Ivey * 29 6-10 2-5 8-9 1 6 0 0 22 - -
Alec Burks 21 7-9 4-4 1-1 1 4 0 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph 18 0-1 0-0 4-4 1 3 1 0 4 - -
Rodney McGruder 16 4-6 3-5 0-2 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Kevin Knox II 14 1-3 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Marvin Bagley III 13 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 7 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 15-20 5-9 8-8 3 6 2 0 43 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 9-19 0-2 4-5 6 5 1 0 22 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 9-16 1-3 0-0 9 2 1 3 19 - -
Patrick Williams * 31 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 25 5-11 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Alex Caruso 20 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 8 - -
Goran Dragic 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Andre Drummond 15 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 0 12 - -
Coby White 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Javonte Green 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter