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2022-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 60.3% 39.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% -
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% -
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +9 (113-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 37 6-9 2-4 7-7 2 2 0 1 21 - -
Chris Paul * 35 6-12 3-6 5-6 5 12 1 0 20 - -
Torrey Craig * 30 5-9 2-4 1-2 7 1 1 0 13 - -
Deandre Ayton * 30 2-10 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 4 - -
Josh Okogie * 12 2-4 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Ish Wainright 23 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 0 4 0 9 - -
Dario Saric 20 2-7 1-3 4-4 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Damion Lee 20 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Jock Landale 17 2-2 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 0 6 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 13 5-10 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 8-17 2-5 8-10 2 6 0 0 26 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 39 11-22 4-11 9-9 5 2 3 1 35 - -
Scottie Barnes * 38 4-12 1-4 2-2 5 3 3 1 11 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 29 6-10 2-5 2-2 5 4 2 0 16 - -
Christian Koloko * 21 3-3 1-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 23 4-7 0-0 0-1 4 2 4 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Malachi Flynn 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter