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2022-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Log Adjusted 41.1% 58.9% -
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -9 (121-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 39 18-27 4-6 7-9 10 9 0 1 47 40 -
Thomas Bryant * 33 8-10 0-1 3-3 17 1 1 1 19 29 -
Dennis Schroder * 32 5-12 1-5 1-1 2 9 3 0 12 14 -
Austin Reaves * 25 1-13 1-9 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 -4 -
Patrick Beverley * 25 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 3 1 1 10 12 -
Russell Westbrook 29 6-12 0-3 2-2 8 11 1 1 14 23 -
Troy Brown Jr. 25 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 5 5 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 15 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 8 -
Wenyen Gabriel 14 5-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 11 9 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Onyeka Okongwu * 42 8-11 0-0 1-2 8 0 2 3 17 19 -
Dejounte Murray * 39 8-17 3-7 1-1 7 9 1 0 20 20 -
Trae Young * 36 11-24 0-4 7-9 3 8 1 0 29 17 -
AJ Griffin * 24 5-10 3-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 13 6 -
John Collins * 23 3-7 0-3 1-2 9 0 0 0 7 9 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 33 7-19 3-12 0-0 4 3 0 1 17 6 -
Jalen Johnson 24 5-9 1-4 4-6 7 0 2 1 15 16 -
Aaron Holiday 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
Frank Kaminsky 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter