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2022-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 (29.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.3% 48.7% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -19 (100-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 37 3-7 3-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 11 10 -
Kristaps Porzingis * 35 9-13 3-6 9-11 13 2 1 4 30 37 -
Kyle Kuzma * 31 9-16 4-8 1-2 5 6 0 1 23 19 -
Monte Morris * 27 4-5 1-2 3-4 3 10 1 0 12 21 -
Daniel Gafford * 26 5-7 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 4 11 16 -
Rui Hachimura 29 6-14 1-5 3-4 7 1 0 0 16 10 -
Deni Avdija 27 5-8 2-5 1-1 7 6 2 1 13 21 -
Delon Wright 17 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 3 8 -
Will Barton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Goodwin 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
Anthony Gill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 37 13-25 1-4 1-1 4 8 2 0 28 17 -
Paolo Banchero * 37 7-24 1-5 6-7 5 4 0 0 21 6 -
Bol Bol * 30 5-11 0-2 0-1 9 0 1 1 10 10 -
Markelle Fultz * 26 5-12 1-5 1-2 7 6 3 0 12 16 -
Terrence Ross * 23 3-10 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 -1 -
Kevon Harris 29 4-6 0-2 0-1 3 1 1 0 8 7 -
Caleb Houstan 28 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
Admiral Schofield 27 2-7 0-3 3-4 4 4 0 0 7 8 -

* = starter