Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.0% | 43.0% | -1.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (129-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 34 | 4-12 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 5-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 19 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 34 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 34 | 11-21 | 4-9 | 9-12 | 12 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 21 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 21 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 16 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter