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2022-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% -
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -13 (106-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 35 9-19 1-4 0-0 4 17 0 1 19 - -
Dillon Brooks * 34 7-14 4-7 7-8 3 6 0 0 25 - -
Steven Adams * 32 7-11 0-0 0-2 17 3 1 0 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 7-15 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 2 15 - -
Desmond Bane * 28 6-13 3-7 1-1 5 4 2 0 16 - -
John Konchar 23 4-7 2-3 1-1 7 1 0 1 11 - -
Tyus Jones 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Santi Aldama 13 2-6 1-3 1-2 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Ziaire Williams 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 38 8-19 0-1 9-11 10 4 2 1 25 - -
Scottie Barnes * 34 7-18 0-1 0-1 10 4 3 1 14 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 34 5-17 3-8 3-3 3 3 2 1 16 - -
Christian Koloko * 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 4 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 31 7-13 5-7 1-2 2 2 2 0 20 - -
Malachi Flynn 30 2-12 1-7 1-2 8 5 0 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 22 5-7 1-2 2-3 7 0 0 1 13 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 13 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Khem Birch 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter