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2022-12-30

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.0% 71.0% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% -
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% -
Points Off/Def 27.8% 72.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (116-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 40 10-22 3-9 1-1 4 6 2 0 24 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 36 11-16 3-6 1-1 8 3 0 1 26 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 32 5-13 2-7 0-0 6 4 1 1 12 - -
Ivica Zubac * 29 6-9 0-0 1-4 11 0 1 1 13 - -
Reggie Jackson * 24 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Norman Powell 30 5-12 3-6 6-8 4 2 0 1 19 - -
Luke Kennard 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
John Wall 15 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 8 - -
Nicolas Batum 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Terance Mann 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 37 6-8 2-4 1-1 2 4 0 2 15 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 7-15 2-7 1-2 3 9 2 1 17 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 10-26 3-11 6-10 11 1 0 1 29 - -
Jaylen Brown * 32 12-25 0-8 5-5 7 2 0 0 29 - -
Al Horford * 31 3-6 2-3 0-0 7 2 0 2 8 - -
Grant Williams 22 1-1 1-1 0-0 10 2 0 0 3 - -
Robert Williams III 21 4-4 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 1 12 - -
Sam Hauser 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter