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2022-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% -
Bradley-Terry 86.2% 13.8% -
Margin 92.6% 7.4% -13.9 (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% -
Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.7% 29.3% -
Points Off/Def 61.0% 39.0% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 11-23 1-3 5-7 3 5 2 0 28 - -
Josh Giddey * 33 7-15 0-3 7-7 10 3 1 0 21 - -
Luguentz Dort * 27 7-13 5-7 3-3 1 2 2 0 22 - -
Jalen Williams * 27 5-9 2-4 3-4 5 1 1 0 15 - -
Jaylin Williams * 24 0-5 0-1 0-0 10 1 0 1 0 - -
Tre Mann 22 8-19 1-9 0-0 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Mike Muscala 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 - -
Aaron Wiggins 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenrich Williams 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Joe 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Eugene Omoruyi 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 36 9-15 5-10 4-4 10 9 1 2 27 - -
Gordon Hayward * 36 4-10 0-3 2-3 6 6 3 0 10 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 3-11 0-5 4-6 4 7 0 0 10 - -
P.J. Washington * 31 10-13 3-6 2-3 5 3 1 2 25 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 6-7 0-0 2-5 9 2 1 1 14 - -
Jalen McDaniels 22 5-7 2-3 0-1 3 0 0 1 12 - -
Mark Williams 21 7-7 0-0 3-5 13 2 2 2 17 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 13 2-9 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 6 - -
Theo Maledon 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 - -

* = starter