Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +1 (127-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland * | 33 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 32 | 15-24 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 40 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 12-18 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 12-21 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 30 | 12-21 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 24 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter