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2022-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 76.5% 23.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.9% 32.1% -
Margin 79.6% 20.4% -7.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% -
Log Adjusted 38.5% 61.5% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +1 (119-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 10-23 2-6 5-9 6 2 2 1 27 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 38 8-17 2-7 9-9 3 4 2 0 27 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 34 8-12 1-2 2-3 7 3 2 1 19 - -
Austin Rivers * 33 2-6 1-4 0-1 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Rudy Gobert * 28 4-5 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 4 10 - -
Naz Reid 25 5-8 2-5 1-2 6 1 0 2 13 - -
Jaylen Nowell 24 5-11 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 14 - -
Bryn Forbes 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Nathan Knight 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 37 7-16 3-6 3-5 3 6 2 0 20 - -
Naji Marshall * 35 4-9 0-2 4-5 7 1 0 0 12 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 14-21 1-1 14-19 3 5 1 1 43 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 4-12 0-3 4-4 11 2 0 1 12 - -
Trey Murphy III * 26 6-8 5-6 4-5 3 4 0 0 21 - -
Dyson Daniels 18 1-3 1-1 0-2 4 2 1 1 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Devonte' Graham 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Jose Alvarado 11 2-6 0-1 1-3 3 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter