Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (112-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 32 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 20 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 19 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 13 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 38 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 35 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 11-18 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 30 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 26 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 17 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter