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2022-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 83.2% 16.8% -
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% -
Margin 79.7% 20.3% -7.5 (32.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.5% 41.5% -
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +25 (127-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 40 6-15 3-6 2-2 4 5 2 1 17 - -
Deandre Ayton * 36 14-22 1-1 2-2 7 3 2 0 31 - -
Chris Paul * 31 8-15 3-6 1-2 2 6 2 2 20 - -
Torrey Craig * 29 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Jock Landale * 15 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Damion Lee 25 2-6 1-3 3-4 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Josh Okogie 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 17 4-12 1-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Ish Wainright 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Bismack Biyombo 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Dario Saric 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 35 8-17 2-4 4-4 5 7 1 0 22 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 33 8-15 2-6 4-4 6 2 1 1 22 - -
Monte Morris * 30 4-8 1-2 3-3 6 8 0 0 12 - -
Corey Kispert * 27 2-6 1-5 2-3 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Daniel Gafford * 24 6-7 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 3 14 - -
Rui Hachimura 27 11-13 1-2 7-8 5 1 0 1 30 - -
Deni Avdija 27 3-5 1-3 1-2 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Delon Wright 15 1-3 0-2 1-1 1 3 3 0 3 - -
Taj Gibson 9 3-5 0-1 1-1 2 1 1 1 7 - -
Johnny Davis 1 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Goodwin 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Anthony Gill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter