Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +20 (121-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 28 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 27 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 12 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 24 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 35 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 26 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 35 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 6-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 30 | 10-11 | 6-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter