Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -7 (106-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 31 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 12-20 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 20 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 29 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 37 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 31 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 30 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 15 | - | |
| Alex Len * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 26 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 24 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 17 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| KZ Okpala | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter