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2022-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 17.3% 82.7% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.3% 65.7% -
Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% -
Points Off/Def 26.2% 73.8% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +5 (110-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 36 6-14 2-7 0-0 5 3 1 0 14 - -
LaMelo Ball * 34 7-25 2-11 5-5 10 4 0 0 21 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 7-18 1-6 4-4 3 4 1 0 19 - -
P.J. Washington * 33 5-14 2-6 2-2 4 1 1 1 14 - -
Mason Plumlee * 29 3-4 0-0 1-4 13 4 1 4 7 - -
Jalen McDaniels 25 3-6 3-6 3-4 7 3 0 0 12 - -
Mark Williams 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 6 - -
JT Thor 15 3-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Theo Maledon 11 1-2 0-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 5 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 38 10-22 5-12 4-5 5 4 0 1 29 - -
Jordan Poole * 35 9-20 1-7 5-6 2 6 0 0 24 - -
Draymond Green * 34 3-7 0-2 3-3 10 5 0 1 9 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 29 0-4 0-4 0-0 9 7 1 0 0 - -
Kevon Looney * 17 4-8 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 0 11 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 22 6-6 0-0 2-3 6 2 2 0 14 - -
Ty Jerome 20 2-9 1-4 0-0 0 4 0 0 5 - -
Anthony Lamb 18 1-7 1-7 3-3 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Moses Moody 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
James Wiseman 9 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter