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2022-12-28

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 55.9% 44.1% -1.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.4% 44.6% -
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% -
Points Off/Def 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (126-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 50 5-21 1-10 2-3 3 15 1 0 13 - -
Quentin Grimes * 48 12-25 7-16 2-3 6 4 0 0 33 - -
Julius Randle * 44 11-23 5-11 2-4 18 4 0 0 29 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 36 8-9 0-0 4-8 16 1 2 0 20 - -
RJ Barrett * 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Miles McBride 46 4-14 1-9 5-6 1 1 2 0 14 - -
Jericho Sims 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Rose 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luka Doncic * 47 21-31 2-6 16-22 21 10 2 1 60 - -
Spencer Dinwiddie * 43 9-15 3-8 4-4 6 5 0 0 25 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 42 4-15 3-11 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Christian Wood * 40 7-15 3-9 2-2 9 2 0 3 19 - -
Dwight Powell * 30 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 - -
Reggie Bullock 26 1-7 1-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Davis Bertans 14 1-3 1-3 2-3 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Frank Ntilikina 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
McKinley Wright IV 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Kemba Walker 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -
JaVale McGee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter