Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (130-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 30 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 29 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 24 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter