Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (129-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 34 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 29 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 6 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 30 | 9-16 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 29 | 11-16 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 25 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 19 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 14 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter