Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +24 (126-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 35 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 11-22 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 28 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 20 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 17 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 16 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 14-26 | 6-15 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 12-25 | 6-16 | 8-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter