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2022-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% -
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% -
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% -
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% -
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +5 (116-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 39 7-14 0-4 1-1 4 2 1 2 15 - -
James Harden * 39 7-14 2-8 10-10 7 13 3 1 26 - -
Joel Embiid * 35 17-32 1-5 13-14 10 1 3 3 48 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 35 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 6 - -
P.J. Tucker * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Georges Niang 28 1-7 1-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 17 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 - -
Montrezl Harrell 9 4-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Danuel House Jr. 8 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Paul Reed 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 37 4-13 2-9 4-5 8 1 0 0 14 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 7-15 3-5 7-9 10 1 2 3 24 - -
Bradley Beal * 29 8-15 3-5 0-0 1 5 0 2 19 - -
Monte Morris * 29 3-9 0-3 2-2 4 7 0 0 8 - -
Daniel Gafford * 18 3-3 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 8 - -
Rui Hachimura 21 5-10 0-3 4-4 1 0 0 0 14 - -
Deni Avdija 20 2-4 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 1 7 - -
Delon Wright 17 2-5 1-3 2-3 0 1 3 0 7 - -
Corey Kispert 16 2-7 1-4 3-3 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Taj Gibson 14 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 7 - -

* = starter