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2022-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 46.2% 53.8% -
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 57.4% 42.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% -
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% -
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -19 (110-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 31 12-24 0-7 4-5 7 5 1 1 28 - -
Thomas Bryant * 30 8-10 1-1 4-6 10 1 1 0 21 - -
Patrick Beverley * 29 5-11 4-10 0-0 2 2 0 1 14 - -
Dennis Schroder * 28 2-3 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 24 3-10 2-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Russell Westbrook 29 6-11 1-3 2-2 13 13 0 0 15 - -
Austin Reaves 26 3-7 2-6 0-0 3 5 1 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 17 6-7 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 15 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Max Christie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kendrick Nunn 1 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 30 4-8 2-4 5-5 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Markelle Fultz * 27 7-13 1-4 1-2 3 3 2 2 16 - -
Paolo Banchero * 22 1-6 0-2 2-4 5 3 1 0 4 - -
Bol Bol * 21 4-7 1-1 1-4 5 0 0 1 10 - -
Moritz Wagner * 21 5-8 1-3 1-2 4 4 2 0 12 - -
Cole Anthony 25 4-13 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 21 6-10 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 13 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. 19 6-8 2-2 1-2 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Mo Bamba 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 2 5 - -
Gary Harris 17 2-4 1-2 4-4 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Caleb Houstan 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
R.J. Hampton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter