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2022-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% -
Bradley-Terry 23.6% 76.4% -
Margin 27.0% 73.0% +5.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (124-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 36 2-17 1-7 2-2 4 6 0 0 7 - -
Gordon Hayward * 35 4-14 0-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 10 - -
LaMelo Ball * 35 10-26 4-10 3-4 7 7 2 0 27 - -
P.J. Washington * 32 9-13 4-5 0-0 6 1 0 3 22 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 5-7 0-0 4-5 8 2 1 0 14 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 33 5-15 2-8 3-6 5 1 0 0 15 - -
Jalen McDaniels 15 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Mark Williams 15 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 2 0 9 - -
Theo Maledon 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anfernee Simons * 38 6-15 3-8 3-3 2 2 1 0 18 - -
Damian Lillard * 37 5-18 1-10 6-6 3 9 0 2 17 - -
Josh Hart * 37 4-8 0-2 3-3 13 3 1 0 11 - -
Jerami Grant * 36 12-19 4-6 4-4 10 5 1 2 32 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 35 8-12 5-7 7-10 15 6 2 3 28 - -
Keon Johnson 18 4-10 0-4 0-0 1 1 2 1 8 - -
Trendon Watford 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Drew Eubanks 11 3-3 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Greg Brown III 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jabari Walker 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter