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2022-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 41.4% 58.6% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% -
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +20 (113-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 31 4-12 1-5 3-3 1 6 2 1 12 - -
Myles Turner * 25 5-8 2-5 2-4 8 0 1 2 14 - -
Buddy Hield * 23 4-10 4-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 22 5-12 0-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 5 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 22 4-11 1-5 6-6 1 2 1 0 15 - -
Chris Duarte 21 2-9 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 - -
T.J. McConnell 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 4 6 1 0 2 - -
Isaiah Jackson 14 2-2 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 1 7 - -
Oshae Brissett 12 1-4 0-2 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 - -
Goga Bitadze 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Terry Taylor 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
James Johnson 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Jalen Smith 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaxson Hayes * 31 5-7 0-2 5-6 9 2 0 3 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 29 5-14 3-7 6-7 7 6 2 0 19 - -
Jose Alvarado * 29 3-11 1-8 1-2 4 3 3 0 8 - -
Naji Marshall * 29 8-14 4-9 2-2 6 4 0 1 22 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 28 10-18 0-3 0-0 12 5 1 1 20 - -
Devonte' Graham 19 3-8 3-7 2-2 3 4 0 0 11 - -
Garrett Temple 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Willy Hernangomez 17 2-5 0-0 3-5 7 2 0 1 7 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 16 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 7 - -

* = starter