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2022-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.5% 49.5% -
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -15 (118-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 39 14-22 6-12 2-4 7 9 0 0 36 - -
Jalen Green * 35 9-15 6-10 0-2 6 3 1 0 24 - -
Eric Gordon * 35 4-11 1-6 3-4 2 3 0 0 12 - -
Alperen Sengun * 32 10-12 1-1 4-4 11 6 1 2 25 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 30 6-14 1-6 0-0 8 2 2 2 13 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 21 4-8 0-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Tari Eason 17 2-3 1-2 4-4 2 1 1 1 9 - -
Usman Garuba 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 - -
Bruno Fernando 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Garrison Mathews 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 40 11-18 0-0 9-10 5 9 1 0 31 - -
Patrick Williams * 39 5-10 2-6 0-0 7 2 1 2 12 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 9-19 2-6 2-5 3 5 0 0 22 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 4-13 1-5 1-2 3 4 0 0 10 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 23 3-7 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Coby White 28 5-9 4-8 0-0 3 4 2 0 14 - -
Andre Drummond 18 3-5 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 0 8 - -
Goran Dragic 17 5-11 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Dalen Terry 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter