Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (113-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 39 | 11-16 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 36 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 29 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 20 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 7-19 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 24 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jovic * | 18 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 17 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter